Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 23

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday


	Virtus Francavilla		Foggia

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.5
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.56	3.05	2.57
	2.8	2.9	2.82
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.62	2.88	2.65
	2.65	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.51)	2.98 ↓ (3.06)	2.63 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
34.8%

Draw
30.6%

Foggia
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Virtus Francavilla - Foggia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Branduani P. (G) 9. Artistico G. 17. Carella F. 8. Di Marco T. 15. Dutu E. 50. Ingrosso G. 30. Macca F. 14. Molnar I. 5. Monteagudo J. C. (C) 10. Polidori A. 21. Risolo A.	1. Perina P. (G) 33. Carillo L. 28. Di Noia G. 6. Martini J. 10. Millico V. 18. Riccardi D. 3. Rizzo A. (C) 31. Salines E. 26. Tascone S. 9. Tonin R. 27. Vezzoni F.
Substitutes
20. Agostinelli V. 70. Cardoselli C. 1. Carretta F. (G) 3. De Marino D. 72. Fekete M. 99. Garofalo V. 6. Gasbarro A. 90. Giovinco G. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 23. Nicoli S. 25. Serio S. 29. Vapore A.	17. Agnelli G. 16. Antonacci G. 75. Brancato D. 4. Castaldi G. 21. Fiorini M. 32. Iddrissou S. 96. Nobile T. (G) 19. Odjer M. 24. Papazov T. 14. Pazienza O. 25. Rossi A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 1.

Virtus Francavilla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Foggia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.01.24	Crotone - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Virtus Francavilla - Benevento	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLL
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.01.24	Foggia - Avellino	1:3 ✺
12.01.24	Giugliano - Foggia	4:1 ✺
06.01.24	Foggia - Taranto	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Foggia - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
18.12.23	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.23	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	0:0
14.01.23	Virtus Francavilla - Foggia	1:0
15.09.22	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
16.04.22	Virtus Francavilla - Foggia	2:2
11.12.21	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
17.03.21	Virtus Francavilla - Foggia	0:1
22.11.20	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	1:1

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