The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foggia 40%
Draw 28.9%
Potenza 31.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.4%
28.9%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
29%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Foggia - Potenza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Saro G. (G) 3. Seck M. 21. Berra F. 6. Di Pasquale D. (C) 2. Todisco G. 14. Zuccon F. 16. Haoudi H. 11. Petito F. 17. Panico G. 91. Ravasio M. 18. Luciani P.
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 6. Loiacono G. (C) 47. Bura R. 3. Russo L. 8. Castorani M. 24. Bando A. 77. Ghisolfi M. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G. 10. D'Auria G.
Substitutes
33. Azarovs T. 56. Chiara E. 79. Clerge N. 8. Coulibaly M. 10. Del Sole F. 4. Gallo A. 12. Marfella D. (G) 29. Merdji Y. 37. Ngana V. 7. Oviszach E. 51. Parisy C. 19. Rinaldo M. 32. Smeraldi A. 80. Testa A. (G) 28. Toure I.
98. Adjapong C. 7. Bruschi N. 1. Franchi D. (G) 14. Franzolini A. 35. Giannini D. 12. Gironi C. (G) 18. Gorga G. 21. Manfredonia M. 80. Matheu P. 11. Mazzeo L. 9. Murano J. 89. Paolino M. 25. Staver C. 2. Verza N.
Coaches
Auteri G.
Tisci I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, D'Auria G. ⚽, Petrungaro L. (A),
18', Zuccon F. 🟨,
32', D'Auria G. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Todisco G. 🟨,
39', Loiacono G. 🟨,
45+1', Petito F. ↓, Smeraldi A. ↑,
45+2', Ravasio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Luciani P. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
46', Zuccon F. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Petrungaro L. ⚽, Selleri G. (A),
61', Haoudi H. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
61', Panico G. ↓, Del Sole F. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Smeraldi A. (Own goal),
64', Ghisolfi M. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
64', Russo L. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
65', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
70', Bando A. ↓, Manfredonia M. ↑,
79', Petrungaro L. ↓, Bruschi N. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Berra F. ⚽, Oviszach E. (A),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.
In recent outings, Foggia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Potenza is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Foggia has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:14 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Foggia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:7 goals (averaging 1.9:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Potenza
11
8
2
1
28:15
13
26
14
Foggia
11
4
2
5
11:13
-2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Foggia - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Potenza - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Italy
Watch
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Saro G. (G) 
Seck M. 
Kirwan N. 
Azarovs T. 
Clerge N. 
Matheu P. 
Staver C. 
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