Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia)

Referee: Vailati G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Foggia		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2.35	3.1	2.8
	2.43	3.25	2.99
	2.37	3.06	2.95	Watch
	2.35	2.95	2.9
	2.29	3.02	2.94
	2.36	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	2.86 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
38.8%

Draw
29.4%

Potenza
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Foggia - Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.

In recent outings, Foggia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Potenza is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Foggia has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:14 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Foggia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:7 goals (averaging 1.9:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19
10	Foggia	8	3	2	3	8:7	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Foggia - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Potenza - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Foggia - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Inter U23 - Foggia	3:2 ✺
15.09.26	Foggia - Savoia	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Monopoli - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTL
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Potenza - Picerno	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Barletta - Potenza	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Potenza - Cavese	4:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bari - Potenza	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Salernitana - Potenza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.26	Foggia - Potenza	0:1
02.11.25	Potenza - Foggia	3:0
23.02.25	Foggia - Potenza	3:4
13.10.24	Potenza - Foggia	1:1
13.04.24	Potenza - Foggia	0:3
10.12.23	Foggia - Potenza	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.23	Foggia - Potenza	1:1

Foggia - Potenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide