The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foggia 16.8%
Draw 25.5%
Nuova Cosenza 57.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.6%
22.4%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.1%
21.6%
66.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuova Cosenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Foggia - Nuova Cosenza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perucchini F. (G) 98. Rizzo F. 20. Buttaro A. 6. Minelli A. 14. Panico C. 19. Byar N. 47. Pazienza O. 8. Garofalo V. 18. Oliva M. 11. Fossati D. 99. D'Amico F.
1. Pompei T. (G) 6. Dalle Mura C. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 7. Cannavo K. 28. Kouan C. 77. Langella C. 10. Garritano L. 11. D'Orazio T. 30. Mazzocchi S. 34. Florenzi A.
Substitutes
26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 27. Borbei A. (G) 40. Castaldi G. 10. Ilicic M. 22. Magro F. (G) 23. Morelli G. 77. Olivieri E. 54. Pellegrino G. 25. Staver C. 17. Sylla Y. 24. Valietti F. 92. Winkelmann T.
23. Achour S. 3. Barone A. 9. Beretta G. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 33. Ferrara A. 12. Le Rose G. (G) 71. Mazzulla A. 21. Ragone D. 16. Ricciardi M. 22. Vettorel T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, D'Amico F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dalle Mura C. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
51', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
62', Perucchini F. 🟨,
63', Garritano L. (Pen),
64', Byar N. ↓, Morelli G. ↑,
67', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
67', Langella C. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
72', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
74', Pazienza O. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Ricciardi M. ⚽,
85', D'Amico F. ↓, Agnelli G. ↑,
88', Kouan C. 🟨,
90+2', Morelli G. 🟨,
90+5', Garritano L. (Pen),
90+6', Buttaro A. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 1, Winkelmann T. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 2.
Foggia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cosenza is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cosenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cosenza is a strong favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
Italy
Watch
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Perucchini F. (G) 
Byar N. 
Kouan C. 
Borbei A. (G) 
Ilicic M. 
Staver C. 
Sylla Y. 
Winkelmann T. 
Achour S. 
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