The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Foggia 42.1%
Draw 29.6%
Sorrento 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
29.6%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
29.7%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Foggia - Sorrento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Saro G. (G) 33. Azarovs T. 21. Berra F. 6. Di Pasquale D. (C) 2. Todisco G. 14. Zuccon F. 4. Gallo A. 16. Haoudi H. 11. Petito F. 91. Ravasio M. 18. Luciani P.
22. Harrasser S. (G) 33. Viscardi A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 27. Loreto C. 32. Paglino S. 8. Cuccurullo M. (C) 28. Capezzi L. 23. Cangianiello S. 3. Crecco L. 19. Bolzan A. 7. Starita E.
Substitutes
27. Bigonzoni M. 56. Chiara E. 8. Coulibaly M. 10. Del Sole F. 12. Marfella D. (G) 29. Merdji Y. 37. Ngana V. 7. Oviszach E. 17. Panico G. 51. Parisy C. 19. Rinaldo M. 3. Seck M. 80. Testa A. (G) 28. Toure I.
4. Bacci J. 20. Bernabeo S. 48. Boccarusso J. (G) 31. Castaldi G. 13. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 24. Evangelisti N. 11. Falasca M. 6. Fusco F. 99. Marchesi F. 9. Parker S. 21. Potenza A. 2. Puzone M. 10. Ricci F. 18. Tonni M.
Coaches
Auteri G.
Maiuri V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Viscardi A. 🟨,
23', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
36', Petito F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Starita E. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Berra F. ⚽,
66', Cangianiello S. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
66', Crecco L. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
70', Luciani P. ↓, Merdji Y. ↑,
71', Azarovs T. ↓, Bigonzoni M. ↑,
71', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Seck M. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Ravasio M. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Bolzan A. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
79', Capezzi L. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
79', Starita E. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
82', Petito F. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
82', Zuccon F. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th in the Serie C ~ Play Out and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 2.
Foggia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sorrento shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sorrento could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Foggia holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Foggia has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Foggia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).