Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 21Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Foligno |
|
Trestina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.25 |
3.65 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.31 |
3.97 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.46 |
3.95 |
 Watch |
 |
1.85 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.34 |
4 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.33 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.24) |
3.32 ↑
(3.18) |
3.88 ↑
(2.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Foligno
49.4% | Draw
27.3% | Trestina
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foligno's performance.Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foligno that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Foligno - Trestina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Manfredi L. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, Pupo Posada Y. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Tolomello F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 2.Foligno is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Trestina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Trestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Foligno might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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