Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 16Date: 14 December 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | Vivo Azzurro TV |
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 |
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 |
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Prato |
|
Trestina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.52 |
3.6 |
5.7 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.85 |
6.09 |
|
 |
1.46 |
4.02 |
6.31 |
 Watch |
 |
1.5 |
3.4 |
6 |
|
 |
1.45 |
3.7 |
6.96 |
|
 |
1.46 |
4 |
6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(2.28) |
3.76 ↑
(3.42) |
6.18 ↑
(2.69) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Prato
61.3% | Draw
24% | Trestina
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prato's performance.Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-18.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prato that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Prato - Trestina Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Prato (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Greselin S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 10).Prato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Trestina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, Prato is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Prato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.Including home match between the teams, Prato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Last Results with these Odds
Prato - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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