Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Ghiviborgo		Trestina

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.4	2.62
	2.34	3.5	2.63
	2.33	3.32	2.62
	2.33	3.4	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.28)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.63 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghiviborgo
39%

Draw
26.6%

Trestina
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ghiviborgo - Trestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Ghiviborgo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trestina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trestina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ghiviborgo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Ghiviborgo	6	0	1	5	3:10	-7	1

Last Results with these Odds

Trestina - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.25%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.01.26	Camaiore - Ghiviborgo	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ghiviborgo - Montevarchi	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Ghiviborgo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ghiviborgo - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT
- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Trestina - Siena	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Prato - Trestina	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Trestina - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
14.09.25	Trestina - Ghiviborgo	3:0
17.04.25	Trestina - Ghiviborgo	1:0

Ghiviborgo - Trestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide