Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Foligno		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.3	2.32
	2.64	3.36	2.4	Watch
	2.61	3.28	2.35
	2.6	3.4	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.58)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foligno
34.6%

Draw
27.1%

Grosseto
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Foligno - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+14', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Foligno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grosseto is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.01.26	Montevarchi - Foligno	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Cannara - Foligno	2:4 ✺
14.12.25	Foligno - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Prato - Foligno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTTL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.01.26	Grosseto - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Grosseto - Prato	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW

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