Match Info

Date: 1 March 2022, Tuesday


	Folkestone Invicta		East Thurrock United

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.5	8.5
	1.21	5.8	9
	1.26	6.16	9.7
	1.29	5.25	7.5
	1.19	6.55	11.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	5.85 ↑ (5.25)	9.19 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
74.3%

Draw
15.7%

East Thurrock United
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.5%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

9.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-35.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Thurrock United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Folkestone Invicta - East Thurrock United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Folkestone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

East Thurrock is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Folkestone have a series of home games.

In this match Folkestone is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Folkestone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.02.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	4:1 ✺
08.02.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bowers & Pitsea	2:2 ✺
05.02.22	Folkestone Invicta - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLTT
- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.02.22	East Thurrock United - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Hornchurch - East Thurrock United	6:0 ✺
12.02.22	East Thurrock United - Margate	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Lewes - East Thurrock United	3:2 ✺
29.01.22	East Thurrock United - Haringey Borough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.09.21	East Thurrock United - Folkestone Invicta	1:1
01.02.20	East Thurrock United - Folkestone Invicta	1:3
22.10.19	Folkestone Invicta - East Thurrock United	4:1

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