The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
East Thurrock United 16.9%
Draw 21.9%
Carshalton Athletic 61.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
22.2%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.7%
18.5%
72.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carshalton Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
East Thurrock United - Carshalton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches East Thurrock won 3.
East Thurrock has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Carshalton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
East Thurrock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Carshalton is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches East Thurrock won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-11.
Including matches at home between the teams East Thurrock won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.
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