Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.66
	4.5	3.75	1.63
	4.59	4.23	1.61
	4.6	4.23	1.62
	4	3.7	1.6
	4.59	3.88	1.62
	4.5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (4.72)	3.9 ↓ (4.05)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
20.7%

Draw
23.3%

Hornchurch
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

22.6%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Carshalton Athletic - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 0.

Carshalton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hornchurch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Carshalton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.24	Carshalton Athletic - Kingstonian	4:1 ✺
30.12.23	Haringey Borough - Carshalton Athletic	0:6 ✺
26.12.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.01.24	Hornchurch - Horsham	1:1 ✺
01.01.24	Hashtag United - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
29.12.23	Hornchurch - Lewes	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Chatham Town - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.08.23	Hornchurch - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
10.04.23	Carshalton Athletic - Hornchurch	2:2
02.01.23	Hornchurch - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
26.03.22	Carshalton Athletic - Hornchurch	0:5
01.03.22	Hornchurch - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
17.10.20	Hornchurch - Carshalton Athletic	4:0
14.09.19	Carshalton Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4

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