Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Haringey Borough		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	2.9	3.76	2.17
	2.87	3.54	2.15
	2.8	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.27)	3.6 ↓ (3.64)	2.14 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haringey Borough
32.2%

Draw
25.3%

Folkestone Invicta
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.4%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haringey Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haringey Borough than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haringey Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folkestone Invicta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Haringey won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Folkestone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Folkestone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Haringey won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Haringey won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haringey Borough
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.01.24	Enfield Town - Haringey Borough	1:0 ✺
06.01.24	Haringey Borough - Canvey Island	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Haringey Borough - Carshalton Athletic	0:6 ✺
26.12.23	Haringey Borough - Hashtag United	1:4 ✺
16.12.23	Billericay Town - Haringey Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWLLW
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.01.24	Enfield Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
01.01.24	Margate - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hashtag United	1:3 ✺
26.12.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.11.23	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	1:1
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	2:3 penalties
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.01.23	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	2:1
05.11.22	Haringey Borough - Folkestone Invicta	3:0
23.04.22	Haringey Borough - Folkestone Invicta	4:4
11.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	5:0
11.01.20	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	1:1

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