Match Info

Date: 27 December 2021, Monday


	Folkestone Invicta		Merstham

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.47	4.3	5
	1.5	4.71	5.43
	1.47	4	5
	1.44	4.65	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.43 ↑ (4.35)	5.39 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
62.5%

Draw
20.5%

Merstham
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

20.7%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2%

16.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folkestone Invicta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Folkestone Invicta - Merstham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs) and 15).

Folkestone in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Merstham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Merstham have a series of home games.

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Merstham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Last 9 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Folkestone won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Uxbridge	2:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	5:0 ✺
07.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Bishops Stortford	0:0 ✺
04.12.21	Enfield Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Hartley Wintney - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWW
- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.12.21	Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1 ✺
11.12.21	Carshalton Athletic - Merstham	3:1 ✺
04.12.21	Merstham - Horsham	1:3 ✺
30.11.21	Merstham - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
27.11.21	Merstham - East Thurrock United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.08.21	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	0:2
01.01.20	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	0:4
26.08.19	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	3:1
13.04.19	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	1:3
01.12.18	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	6:2
03.10.17	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	2:0
15.08.17	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	2:1

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