Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 14Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Follonica Gavorrano |
|
Trestina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.05 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.04 |
3.12 |
3.37 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.33 |
2.87 |
 Watch |
 |
2.08 |
3.1 |
3.36 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.15) |
3.15 ↓
(3.4) |
3.2 ↑
(2.88) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano
42.8% | Draw
28.8% | Trestina
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Giordani G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.4:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Follonica Gavorrano - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 11.05.25 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 1:2 ET | | 23.02.25 | Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano | 0:0 | | Coppa Italia Serie D | | | 06.11.24 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 1:0 | | Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 23.10.24 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 3:0 | | 03.12.23 | Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano | 1:0 | | 28.01.23 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 0:0 | | 28.09.22 | Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano | 2:1 |
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