Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 22Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Follonica Gavorrano |
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Prato |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.2 |
3.05 |
2.12 |
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3.21 |
3.14 |
2.1 |
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3.16 |
3.2 |
2.16 |
Watch |
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3.2 |
2.9 |
2.15 |
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3.23 |
3.1 |
2.13 |
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3.2 |
3.1 |
2.14 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.2 ↓ (3.3) |
3.08 ↑ (3.05) |
2.13 ↑ (2.08) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano 28.3% | Draw 29.3% | Prato 42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Follonica Gavorrano - Prato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Rinaldini D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', 1 - 1, Rossetti S. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Presta F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 1.Follonica Gavorrano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Prato has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Prato could have a small edge in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;