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Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano 21.7%
Draw 30.7%
Prato 47.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.1%
31.1%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
31.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Follonica Gavorrano's form might have worsened.
Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Prato's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Follonica Gavorrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Follonica Gavorrano - Prato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 2.
Follonica Gavorrano has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Prato is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Prato is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Follonica Gavorrano has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Follonica Gavorrano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).