Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fontinhas		Arouca

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.5
	5.25	4.1	1.49	Watch
	5	3.75	1.55
	5.2	4.1	1.51
	5.61	3.96	1.53
	6	3.8	1.52
	5.4	4.2	1.52	Watch
	5.4	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↓ (6.07)	4.01 ↓ (4.1)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
17.1%

Draw
22.8%

Arouca
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

22.2%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

24.9%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arouca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Fontinhas - Arouca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fontinhas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Fontinhas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arouca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Fontinhas - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Fontinhas - Praiense	5:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.22	Alverca - Fontinhas	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Fontinhas - Setúbal	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	Moncarapachense - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTTW
- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
10.10.22	Arouca - Famalicão	4:1 ✺
02.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Arouca	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
11.09.22	Arouca - Boavista	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Casa Pia - Arouca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTLT

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