Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 5

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Moncarapachense		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.15	3.45	2.8
	2.42	3.26	3.08
	2.33	3.16	2.93	Watch
	2.36	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)	3.21 ↑ (2.9)	2.87 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
39.6%

Draw
28.5%

Fontinhas
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fontinhas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Moncarapachense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
22.04.23	Caldas - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Moncarapachense - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Leiria - Moncarapachense	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTL
- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
25.04.23	Caldas - Fontinhas	3:0 ✺
22.04.23	Fontinhas - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Académica Coimbra - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Oliveira Hospital - Fontinhas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	0:0
07.01.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	2:4
27.08.22	Moncarapachense - Fontinhas	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.05.22	Moncarapachense - Fontinhas	0:0
20.03.22	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	2:1

Moncarapachense - Fontinhas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide