Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sanjoanense		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.38	3.28	3.13
	2.25	3.22	3.02
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)	3.18 ↑ (3)	3.03 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
40.6%

Draw
29%

Belenenses
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sanjoanense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Belenenses have a series of home games.

Sanjoanense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
08.04.23	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Sanjoanense - Amora	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Anadia - Sanjoanense	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Sanjoanense - Fafe	4:0 ✺
25.02.23	Braga B - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWT
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
09.04.23	Belenenses - Amora	3:0 ✺
31.03.23	Belenenses - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Belenenses - Alverca	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Setúbal - Belenenses	5:2 ✺
25.02.23	Belenenses - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Sanjoanense - Belenenses	3:2 ET

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