Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 9

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Fontinhas		Leiria

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.35
	2.55	3.2	2.5
	2.7	3.15	2.37
	2.88	3.35	2.51
	2.71	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.68)	3.2 ↑ (3)	2.42 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
33.8%

Draw
28.5%

Leiria
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fontinhas's performance.

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leiria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fontinhas have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fontinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
06.11.22	Amora - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Fontinhas - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Fontinhas - Arouca	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Fontinhas - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Fontinhas - Praiense	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWW
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
06.11.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Oliveira Hospital - Leiria	3:4 ✺
23.10.22	Amora - Leiria	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Leiria - Belenenses	2:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Leiria - Montalegre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.01.20	Leiria - Fontinhas	1:0
25.08.19	Fontinhas - Leiria	1:1

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