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Current Win Probability
Leiria 46.7%
Draw 28.3%
Sporting Lisbon B 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
27.9%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
26%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiria that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sporting B will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leiria: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Leiria (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Odehnal J. (G) 68. Maga 16. Ze Pedro 44. Marcelo 3. Baro M. 41. Daniel Borges 8. Kouassi E. 9. Munoz J. (C) 88. Martins D. 45. Mendes J. 19. Fernandez P.
41. Diego Callai (G) 55. Silva J. 43. Muniz J. 49. Romulus 45. Moreira D. 60. Rayan Lucas 96. Justo S. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 67. Anjos L. 58. Goncalves F. 82. Silva G.
Substitutes
20. Gomes B. 98. Joao Bravim (G) 17. Lucho Vega 86. Michel D. 21. Pires M. 6. Rodriguez G. 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J. 39. Zikovic R.
77. Besugo R. 54. Bruno Ramos 68. Costa D. 78. Couto M. 50. Dias R. 73. Felicissimo E. 90. Nel R. 74. Pires G. (G) 40. Tanlongo M.
Coaches
Pereira F.
Joao Giao
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Anjos L. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Ze Pedro ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
18', 2 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Daniel Borges (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Goncalves F. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
63', Silva G. ↓, Couto M. ↑,
63', Rayan Lucas ↓, Tanlongo M. ↑,
63', Romulus ↓, Bruno Ramos ↑,
67', Baro M. 🟨,
68', Mendes J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
68', Kouassi E. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
70', Muniz J. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽,
81', Silva J. ↓, Dias R. ↑,
83', Fernandez P. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
83', Nel R. 🟨,
88', Martins D. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
88', Munoz J. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
In recent matches, Leiria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sporting B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sporting B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Leiria has had a series of away games.
Leiria could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting CP B
6
4
0
2
8:6
2
12
7
Leiria
6
3
1
2
10:7
3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Lisbon B - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.91%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Odehnal J. (G) 
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Baro M. 
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Michel D. 
Zikovic R. 
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