Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Newport County

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.88
	2.4	3.3	2.8
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.55	3.46	2.84
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.54	3.28	2.79	Watch
	2.43	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.26)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	2.78 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
37.9%

Draw
28.6%

Newport County
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Forest Green Rovers - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Newport will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniels L. (G) 3. Bernard D. 5. Inniss R. 4. Johnson D. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 6. Jenks T. 8. McCann C. 16. Kadji D. 9. Stevens M. 23. Omotoye T.	1. Townsend N. (G) 4. Delaney R. 5. Clarke J. 3. Lewis A. 17. Bennett S. 19. McLoughlin S. 20. Charsley H. 24. Wildig A. 8. Morris B. 30. Palmer-Houlden S. 7. Evans W.
Substitutes
12. Bendle A. 44. Bennett M. 14. Deeney T. 18. Maddox J. 19. Robertson S. 20. Searle J. (G) 10. Taylor M.	33. Bondswell M. 26. Maxted J. (G) 2. Payne L. 18. Rai K. 15. Seberry J. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D.
Coaches
Horseman D.	Coughlan G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Forest Green have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
15.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Harrogate Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Salford City	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.23	Forest Green Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWLLW
- Newport County
English League Two
15.08.23	Crewe Alexandra - Newport County	4:2 ✺
12.08.23	Newport County - Doncaster Rovers	4:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Newport County - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Accrington Stanley - Newport County	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Yeovil Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
English League Two
01.03.22	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
05.02.22	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	2:0
23.05.21	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	4:3 ET
18.05.21	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	2:0
21.02.21	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	0:2
01.12.20	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	1:1

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