Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Forest Green Rovers		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.53	4.4	5.75
	1.53	4.33	5	Watch
	1.54	4.43	5.69
	1.54	4.43	5.69
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.52	4.45	5.6	Watch
	1.51	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	4.36 ↓ (4.63)	5.6 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
61.8%

Draw
21.5%

Scarborough Athletic
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

19.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

19%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	13.3%	33.3%

Forest Green Rovers - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Scarborough will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 6. Jenks T. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 4. Johnson D. 25. Dabo F. 8. McCann C. 27. Bunker H. 28. Jones C. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 14. Deeney T.	31. Whitley R. (G) 2. Weledji K. 4. Maloney L. 5. Thornton W. (C) 21. Brown A. 14. Wiles A. 8. Purver A. 15. Qualter R. 11. Colville L. 9. Mulhern E. F. 10. Green H.
Substitutes
12. Bendle A. 18. Maddox J. 23. Omotoye T. 19. Robertson S. 20. Searle J. (G) 24. Sully O. 22. Welch R.	22. Barnes F. 19. Charles J. 7. Coulson M. 1. Cracknell J. (G) 20. Durose C. 6. Gooda B. 17. Tear D.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Forest Green is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Scarborough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Forest Green is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
11.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Barrow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWL
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
11.11.23	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3 ✺
07.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Chorley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English National League North
28.10.23	Tamworth - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:1

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