Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Tranmere Rovers		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.75	2.6
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.5	3.6	2.6
	2.57	3.74	2.65
	2.56	3.74	2.66
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.51	3.58	2.6	Watch
	2.44	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)	3.62 ↑ (3.54)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
37.8%

Draw
26.1%

Forest Green Rovers
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26.6%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.5%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Forest Green will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 27. Wood C. 25. Apter R. 4. Walker B. 8. Hendry R. 18. Jennings C. 9. Norris L. 14. Dennis K.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 22. Welch R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 3. Bernard D. 25. Dabo F. 28. Jones C. 27. Bunker H. 18. Maddox J. 17. Robson J. 23. Omotoye T. 14. Deeney T.
Substitutes
30. Belehouan J. 7. Morris K. 24. Pike D. 29. Robson C. (G) 19. Saunders H. 20. Taylor S. 21. Yarney J.	12. Bendle A. 6. Jenks T. 4. Johnson D. 8. McCann C. 19. Robertson S. 20. Searle J. (G) 24. Sully O.
Coaches
Adkins N.	Horseman D.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 22).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.

Tranmere has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tranmere have a series of guest games.

Recently Forest Green have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Forest Green to win the game is with odds 2.53.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	4:3 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Stockport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Tranmere Rovers - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Forest Green Rovers
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Barrow	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.01.22	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	0:4
25.09.21	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	0:0
01.05.21	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	2:1
19.01.21	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:2
13.05.19	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
10.05.19	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	1:0
19.04.19	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	0:1

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