Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 16

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Forest Green Rovers		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.25
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.55	2.8
	2.19	3.8	3.18
	2.1	3.7	3.1
	2.13	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.55	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.38)	3.64 ↑ (3.49)	3.08 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
43.8%

Draw
25.8%

Crawley Town
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 25. Dabo F. (C) 22. Welch R. 3. Bernard D. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 8. McCann C. 27. Bunker H. 6. Jenks T. 39. Morton C. 14. Deeney T.	1. Addai C. (G) 23. Johnson T. 30. Wright W. 6. Maguire L. 2. Gordon K. 10. Darcy R. 26. Williams J. 4. Kelly L. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 8. Lolos K.
Substitutes
28. Jones C. 2. Lavinier M. 18. Maddox J. 15. Moore-Taylor J. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G) 9. Stevens M.	13. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 14. Forster H. 12. Henry A. 27. Khaleel R. 16. Omole T. 11. Roles J. 24. Swyer K.
Coaches
Horseman D.	Lindsey S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1.

Recent matches Forest Green is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crawley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Forest Green will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
24.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Barrow	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	5:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Walsall - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Stockport County - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- Crawley Town
English League Two
24.10.23	Walsall - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Sutton United - Crawley Town	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Crawley Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.02.22	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
21.08.21	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	6:3
24.04.21	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
29.12.20	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	1:2
04.01.20	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
05.10.19	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	3:1
06.04.19	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:2

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