Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forest Green Rovers		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.75
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.58	4.05	4.95
	1.58	4.2	5.34
	3.63	3.22	2.05	Watch
	1.59	3.92	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.62)	3.85 ↓ (4.06)	4.44 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
51.6%

Draw
25.9%

Scunthorpe United
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

21.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNicholas L. (G) 8. Haughton N. 5. Inniss R. 32. Kanu A. 3. Kengni N. 11. Knowles T. 7. McAllister K. (C) 6. Mendy L. 29. Mitchell K. 21. Pemberton T. 25. Whitwell H.	31. Watson R. (G) 8. Beestin A. 6. Boyce A. (C) 33. Denton T. 5. Evans W. 17. Ewing O. 7. Howe D. 10. Roberts C. 11. Rowley J. 20. Scales K. 9. Whitehall D.
Substitutes
26. Balagizi J. 20. Bamba Y. 23. Cardwell H. 14. Clarke J. 18. Moore I. 12. Pagel F. (G) 27. Walker A.	19. Beck M. 18. Brogan M. 23. Chadwick B. 22. Dawson J. 15. Eze D. 14. Ubaezuonu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Howe D. ⚽,
20', Kanu A. 🟨,
25', Pemberton T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kengni N. ↓, Cardwell H. ↑,
46', Pemberton T. ↓, Bamba Y. ↑,
57', Howe D. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
59', Haughton N. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
72', Whitehall D. ↓, Beck M. ↑,
72', Kanu A. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
79', Beestin A. ↓, Eze D. ↑,
81', Mitchell K. ↓, Balagizi J. ↑,
82', Roberts C. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Balagizi J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 4.

Forest Green is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Scunthorpe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Forest Green is considered a favorite.

We predict that Forest Green will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
06.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
02.09.25	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Braintree Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Halifax Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW
- Scunthorpe United
English National League
06.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Wealdstone	Scunthorpe awarded ✺
30.08.25	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Scunthorpe United - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Scunthorpe United - Woking	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?TTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.04.22	Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United	1:0
16.10.21	Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers	0:2
17.04.21	Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United	3:2
10.10.20	Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers	1:4
22.02.20	Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers	1:0
07.12.19	Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United	0:2
English FA Cup
09.11.14	Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United	0:2

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