Match Info

National League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Sutton United		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.88
	2.10	3.50	2.80
	2.22	3.4	2.85
	2.18	3.81	3.12
	2.19	3.64	2.96	Watch
	2.13	3.6	3.05
	2.11	3.42	3.01
	2.24	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.27)	3.56 ↑ (3.49)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
42.7%

Draw
26%

Scunthorpe United
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Sutton United - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brits S. (G) 9. Babalola T. 27. Brookes B. 10. Carter C. 4. Kirk A. 19. Knight J. 5. Nightingale W. 16. Njoku B. 7. Osadebe E. 8. Taylor J. 12. Urpens D.	25. Campbell M. (G) 15. Ashbee S. 10. Brennan L. 23. Butterfield J. 5. Evans W. 3. Horton B. 7. Howe D. 18. Hurst K. 11. Rowley J. 21. Starbuck J. 9. Whitehall D.
Substitutes
. Amartey 6. Bell C. 11. Folarin S. 20. Francis J. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 18. Ogbonna D. 3. Topalloj B.	8. Beestin A. 4. Belehouan J. 33. Denton T. 31. Gale J. 1. Jones L. (G) 12. Parker H. 16. Sellars-Fleming T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Hurst K. ⚽, Horton B. (A),
44', Whitehall D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Babalola T. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
61', Osadebe E. 🟨,
62', Horton B. 🟨,
64', Hurst K. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
64', Horton B. ↓, Denton T. ↑,
65', Howe D. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
66', Urpens D. 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Sellars-Fleming T. ⚽, Whitehall D. (A),
74', Starbuck J. ↓, Belehouan J. ↑,
78', Njoku B. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
78', Knight J. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
80', Whitehall D. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
85', Taylor J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sutton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sutton	15	6	3	6	17:21	-4	21
22	Scunthorpe	14	3	1	10	18:28	-10	10

Outrights of English National League for now

Scunthorpe: 0.72% Sutton: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Sutton United - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Sutton United - Birmingham City U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Barrow - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sutton United - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW
- Scunthorpe United
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Scunthorpe United - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Scunthorpe United - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
28.08.26	Scunthorpe United - Solihull Moors	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
10.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Sutton United	1:2
23.08.25	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	2:3
English League Two
26.02.22	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	4:1
21.08.21	Scunthorpe United - Sutton United	1:1

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