Match Info

League Two - Round 31

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: New Dundas Park (Bonnyrigg)


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.24	3.4	2.95
	2.25	3.22	3	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.9
	2.2	3.26	3.26
	2.24	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.45)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.96 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
41.1%

Draw
27.8%

Elgin City
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bonnyrigg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Elgin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNeil A. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. 3. Martyniuk N. 19. Ross C. 24. Watson B. 10. Currie L. 16. Aiken M. 22. Connolly C. 21. Porteous R. 7. Ferrie M.	1. Aidan G. (G) 14. Girvan K. 5. Dolzanski J. 6. Murray J. 22. MacIver J. 15. Fleming K. 19. Gallagher M. 23. Draper R. 10. Sargent R. 16. Gavin D. 7. Dingwall R.
Substitutes
25. Andrews M. (G) 8. Arnott A. 11. Hogg C. 20. Lennon G. 9. McGachie K. 6. Murphy S. 18. Somerville K.	12. Cairns O. 8. Cameron B. 2. Cooper M. 9. Golding D. 17. Hyde L. 27. MacDonald L. 4. MacEwan R. 18. McDonald O. 28. McHale T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Watson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Gallagher M. ↓, Hyde L. ↑,
70', Fleming K. ↓, Cameron B. ↑,
70', Gavin D. ↓, Golding D. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Golding D. ⚽,
74', Ferrie M. ↓, McGachie K. ↑,
84', Mailer A. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
90+3', McNeil A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 2.

Bonnyrigg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Elgin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bonnyrigg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:4 (average 2.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Bonnyrigg Rose - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
22.03.25	Clyde - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
22.03.25	Spartans - Elgin City	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Elgin City - Clyde	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Elgin City - Spartans	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Peterhead - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
04.02.25	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0
09.11.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	2:0
14.09.24	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1
09.03.24	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:0
06.02.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	2:0
11.11.23	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0
02.09.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	5:1

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