Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 29

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)


	Forfar Athletic		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.88	2.3
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.11	3.15	2.38
	3.11	3.15	2.39
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.01	3.22	2.3
	3	3.05	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
30.4%

Draw
29.3%

Stenhousemuir
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

29.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3%)

Forfar Athletic - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Nditi R. 15. Hutchinson A. 19. Munro A. (C) 5. Allan M. 6. Morrison S. 10. Whatley M. 18. Allan F. 22. Scally D. 24. Lobban D. 23. McLean R.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 5. Jamieson N. 14. Bilham K. 6. Wedderburn N. 17. Anderson M. 16. O'Reilly E. 8. Berry J. 10. Yates M. 9. Aitken M.
Substitutes
11. Inglis K. 20. Mohammed R. 8. Moore C. 12. Mykyta T. 21. Paris Z. (G) 16. Robson F. 14. Ross S. 7. Thomson C.	11. Brown A. 20. Jacobs Ky. 7. Kirkpatrick J. 34. Lyle C. (G) 18. Lynch E. 80. Rodden B. 15. Stirling B. 12. Taylor R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forfar won 0.

Forfar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Stenhousemuir is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stenhousemuir will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Forfar won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Forfar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
09.03.24	Forfar Athletic - Clyde	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Clyde - Forfar Athletic	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTWT
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two
09.03.24	Stenhousemuir - Spartans	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Stenhousemuir - Clyde	1:6 ✺
17.02.24	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	East Fife - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
06.01.24	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	2:1
04.11.23	Forfar Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:3
05.08.23	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	0:0
25.03.23	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	1:1
11.02.23	Forfar Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:1
10.12.22	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	1:2
27.08.22	Forfar Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:2

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