Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.15
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	3	3.3	2.25
	2.98	3.1	2.13
	3.32	3.32	2.2
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	3.18	3.26	2.19
	2.95	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
30.2%

Draw
28.2%

Stenhousemuir
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Bonnyrigg Rose - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin P. (G) 5. Mercer S. 4. Young K. 3. Martyniuk N. 16. Peggie R. 2. Mailer A. 8. Stewart J. 10. Currie L. 23. Dunsmore A. 9. McGachie K. 18. Watson D.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. 5. Jamieson N. 14. Bilham K. 16. O'Reilly E. 6. Wedderburn N. 8. Berry J. 17. Anderson M. 10. Yates M. 9. Aitken M.
Substitutes
25. Andrews M. (G) 21. Barrett B. 7. Byrne D. 22. Connolly C. 17. Doan C. 14. Gormley S. 6. Jarvis J. 12. McGale R. 20. Osadolor S.	11. Brown A. 20. Jacobs Ky. 7. Kirkpatrick J. 34. Lyle C. (G) 18. Lynch E. 80. Rodden B. 15. Stirling B. 12. Taylor R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 0.

Bonnyrigg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stenhousemuir is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stenhousemuir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stenhousemuir will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bonnyrigg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
24.02.24	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.02.24	Aberdeen - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
06.02.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two
24.02.24	Stenhousemuir - Clyde	1:6 ✺
17.02.24	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	East Fife - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Stenhousemuir - Dumbarton	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
02.12.23	Stenhousemuir - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:0
23.09.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stenhousemuir	0:1
08.04.23	Stenhousemuir - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:0
25.02.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stenhousemuir	0:1
19.11.22	Stenhousemuir - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1
01.10.22	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stenhousemuir	2:4

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