Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massari L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Forlì		Pianese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.20
	1.86	3.25	3.50	Watch
	2.19	3.20	3.47
	2.03	3.25	3.49	Watch
	2.16	3.10	3.35
	2.12	3.30	3.41	Watch
	2.00	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.17)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	3.37 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
44.6%

Draw
28.3%

Pianese
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Forlì - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martelli L. (G) 30. Perretta G. 26. Palomba L. 36. Onofri M. 11. Farinelli N. 6. De Risio C. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 21. Mattioli G. 10. Macri D. (C) 19. Gabellini T. 9. Coveri V.	1. Astaldi G. (G) 13. Ercolani L. 15. Gorelli M. 23. Pintus N. 19. Morelli G. 27. Bertini M. 21. Tirelli M. 30. Proietto F. (C) 37. Di Cosmo L. 11. Bellini L. 10. Ianesi S.
Substitutes
35. Diop S. 5. Gaiola R. 2. Mandrelli N. 18. Perini G. 7. Petrelli E. 8. Rosetti M. 33. Rossi D. 17. Spinelli A. 12. Theiner D. (G) 15. Valentini F. 4. Valentini F. 34. Veliaj G. (G) 77. Zerbo P.	4. Casalino T. 7. Colombo M. 74. Corti T. 29. Fabrizi L. 3. Haveri K. 77. Martey C. 14. Negri G. 5. Peli L. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 20. Vigiani L. 12. Zambuto A. (G)
Coaches
Campedelli N.	Zanchetta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Morelli G. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
45+7', Coveri V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tirelli M. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
57', Scaccabarozzi J. 🟨,
62', Gabellini T. ↓, Petrelli E. ↑,
63', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Rosetti M. ↑,
63', Di Cosmo L. ↓, Vigiani L. ↑,
79', Ianesi S. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
81', Perretta G. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
81', Macri D. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
87', Perini G. ↓, Valentini F. ↑,
90+3', Pintus N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 15th and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Forlì is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Pianese have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Pianese could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Forlì is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Forlì has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 1.8:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Forlì against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Forli	11	2	6	3	16:16	0	12
18	Pianese	11	1	6	4	6:10	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Pianese - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Forlì	3:2 ✺
11.10.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ostia Mare - Forlì	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Forlì - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.26	Pianese - Pineto	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Ostia Mare - Pianese	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Pianese - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.03.26	Forlì - Pianese	0:0
22.11.25	Pianese - Forlì	3:2
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.02.18	Forlì - Pianese	2:3
08.10.17	Pianese - Forlì	3:3

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