Match Info

USL League One

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fort Wayne		Portland Hearts of Pine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.38
	2.91	3.3	2.48
	2.76	3.23	2.52	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.45
	2.71	3.54	2.4	Watch
	2.48	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.48)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.46 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
34.2%

Draw
28.4%

Portland Hearts of Pine
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Fort Wayne - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 18. Nieto E. 13. Rempel M. 2. Smith J. 5. Sproat R. 86. Armas J. 30. Abbey I. 11. Healy T. 7. Ricol L.	23. Oladapo K. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 66. Green K. 22. Evans B. 99. Drack J. 11. Kamara J. 5. Lopez M. (C) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 10. Wright O. 98. Kidd M. 32. Terzaghi E.
Substitutes
10. Awoudor C. 20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. 12. Gafar K. 8. Garay J. 33. Hagaman T. 22. Hernandez A. 9. Oyetunde D. 19. Solis J.	18. Barbosa D. 9. Camara A. 21. Georgallides K. 2. Jones-Riley J. 27. Mensah E. 1. Morse H. (G) 14. Washington T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Terzaghi E. 🟨,
39', Wright O. 🟨,
44', Smith J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Ricol L. ⚽, Smith J. (A),
59', Lopez M. 🟨,
63', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
63', Terzaghi E. ↓, Washington T. ↑,
64', Mohamed M. ↓, Jones-Riley J. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Ricol L. ⚽, Schipmann B. (A),
67', Dias T. 🟨,
69', Smith J. ↓, Gafar K. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Healy T. ⚽,
74', Drack J. 🟨,
75', Kidd M. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
75', Wright O. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
77', Rempel M. 🟨,
77', Ricol L. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
77', Armas J. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
78', Healy T. ↓, Awoudor C. ↑,
83', Abbey I. 🟨,
85', Rempel M. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Fort Wayne has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
02.05.26	Fort Wayne - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Louisville City - Fort Wayne	3:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Fort Wayne	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	New York Cosmos - Fort Wayne	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Fort Wayne	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLT
- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
02.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Westchester SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTTL

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