Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 1

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Fortaleza		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.3	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.42	3.15	3.2
	2.37	3.07	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.37	3.13	3.24	Watch
	2.4	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.39)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.22 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
39.7%

Draw
30.9%

Fluminense
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

31.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Fortaleza - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 2. Tinga (C) 13. Kuscevic B. 4. Titi 16. Diogo Barbosa 5. Fernandez P. 88. Lucas Sasha 8. Emmanuel Martinez 22. Yago Pikachu 9. Lucero J. 11. Marinho	1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 3. Thiago Silva (C) 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 8. Martinelli 35. Hercules 21. Arias J. 17. Canobbio A. 14. Cano G. 90. Serna K.
Substitutes
19. Allanzinho 27. Borrero D. 12. Brenno (G) 6. Bruno Pacheco 10. Calebe 23. David Luiz 18. Deyverson 14. Mancuso E. 20. Matheus Rossetto 21. Moises 7. Pochettino T. 17. Ze Welison	5. Bernal F. 9. Everaldo 4. Ignacio 11. Keno 19. Lavega J. 33. Lezcano R. 45. Lima 26. Manoel 16. Nonato 2. Samuel Xavier 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Mano Menezes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Marinho (A),
15', Serna K. ↓, Lima ↑,
21', 2 - 0, Tinga ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
62', Tinga ↓, David Luiz ↑,
68', Mano Menezes 🟨,
70', Hercules ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
72', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
72', Marinho ↓, Moises ↑,
83', Rene ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
83', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
85', Lucas Sasha ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
85', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
90+5', Moises 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.

Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fortaleza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:16 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.25	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.03.25	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.25	Sousa - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.03.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.03.25	Flamengo - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.25	Caxias - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.03.25	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
22.11.24	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:2
07.07.24	Fortaleza - Fluminense	1:0
03.09.23	Fluminense - Fortaleza	1:0
29.04.23	Fortaleza - Fluminense	4:2
10.09.22	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:1
Copa do Brasil
17.08.22	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:2
28.07.22	Fortaleza - Fluminense	0:1

Upcoming Matches