Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Fluminense		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.32	5	8.75
				Watch
	1.26	5.28	11.16
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.28)	5.14 ↓ (5.25)	9.96 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
72.4%

Draw
18.2%

Volta Redonda
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

17.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Fluminense - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 12. Fuentes G. 8. Martinelli 94. Otavio 90. Serna K. 21. Arias J. 17. Canobbio A. 14. Cano G.	12. Jean Drosny (G) 2. Wellington Silva 13. Lucas Souza 4. Fabricio 6. Sanchez 20. Pierre 8. Robinho 18. Marquinhos 10. PK 11. MV 9. Luis Felipe
Substitutes
5. Bernal F. 9. Everaldo 23. Guga 35. Hercules 11. Keno 19. Lavega J. 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 16. Nonato 77. Paulo Baya 6. Rene 28. Riquelme Felipe 29. Thiago Santos	1. Avelino (G) 5. Bruno Barra 26. Caceres L. 25. Caio Vitor 14. Chay 23. Du Fernandes 21. Henrique Silva 22. Juninho Monteiro 17. Kelvin 7. Luciano Naninho 19. Matheus Lucas 27. Mirandinha
Coaches
Marcao	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽,
13', Otavio 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
23', Bruno Santos 🟨,
31', Wellington Silva ↓, Bruno Barra ↑,
31', Canobbio A. 🟨,
33', Pierre 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Arias J. ⚽, Martinelli (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
51', Fabricio 🟨,
62', Otavio ↓, Hercules ↑,
62', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
64', Serna K. 🟨,
71', 4 - 0, Cano G. ⚽,
73', Marquinhos ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
73', PK ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
73', Pierre ↓, Henrique Silva ↑,
73', Sanchez ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
76', Martinelli ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
76', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1.

Fluminense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Volta Redonda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fluminense is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fluminense to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31:20 (average 1.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25:10 (average 2.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Águia de Marabá - Fluminense	0:8 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.02.25	Fluminense - Bangu	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTW
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.25	Boavista - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
09.02.25	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
06.02.25	Volta Redonda - Maricá	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.01.25	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	1:0
18.01.24	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	1:1
18.03.23	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	7:0
12.03.23	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	2:1
02.02.23	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	1:0
19.02.22	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	3:0
26.03.21	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	2:3

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