Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Fortaleza		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.72	3.3	4.95	Watch
	1.8	3.35	5.5
	1.75	3.43	5
	1.75	3.25	4.8
	1.72	3.29	5.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)	3.29 ↑ (3.13)	5.02 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
53.1%

Draw
28.4%

Goiás
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

29.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Fortaleza - Goiás Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fortaleza will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 2. Britez E. (C) 33. Kaua Rocha 3. Lucas Gazal 22. Mailton 5. Pierre 37. Ryan 13. Mauricio Junior 7. Pochettino T. 77. Paulo Baya 9. Miritello J. B.	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 14. Lucas Ribeiro 4. Ramon Menezes 6. Nicolas 55. Baldoria 28. Gege 35. Luquinhas 10. Lucas Lima 21. Jean Carlos 18. Cadu
Substitutes
12. Brenno (G) 99. Kayke 4. Luan Freitas 19. Lucas Emanoel 88. Lucas Sasha 38. Lucca Prior 20. Matheus Rossetto 29. Rodrigo 75. Rodriguinho 8. Ronald 11. Vitinho 31. Welliton	9. Anselmo Ramon 88. Brayann 20. Diego Caito 54. Djalma Silva 15. Garcia E. 8. Juninho 25. Luisao 3. Luiz Felipe 19. Magalhaes J. 17. Pedrinho 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Lucas Gazal 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Gege ⚽,
26', Paulo Baya 🟨,
30', Cadu ↓, Anselmo Ramon ↑,
30', Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Kaua Rocha ↓, Vitinho ↑,
46', Paulo Baya ↓, Welliton ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Mauricio Junior (A),
56', Vitinho 🟨,
56', Ryan 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Pierre (A),
65', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Diego Caito ↑,
65', Baldoria ↓, Brayann ↑,
70', Ryan ↓, Lucas Sasha ↑,
70', Pochettino T. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
72', Diego Caito 🟨,
76', Pierre ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Britez E. (A),
80', Jean Carlos ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
80', Luquinhas ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
83', Nicolas 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 1, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Mailton (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.

Fortaleza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Goiás is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Cardona T. (Muscle Injury) Fuentes G. (Injury) Lucas Crispim (Inactive) Luiz Fernando (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Goiás: Diego Caito (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo (Inactive)

There are questionable in Goiás: Lourenco (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Fortaleza - Criciúma	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.04.26	América RN - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWT
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	São Bernardo - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Goiás - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Juventude - Goiás	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Goiás - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.12.23	Fortaleza - Goiás	1:0
05.08.23	Goiás - Fortaleza	1:0
01.10.22	Goiás - Fortaleza	0:1
09.06.22	Fortaleza - Goiás	1:1
26.11.20	Fortaleza - Goiás	1:1
19.08.20	Goiás - Fortaleza	1:3
01.12.19	Goiás - Fortaleza	1:2

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