Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 4

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Juventude		Goiás

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.32	3.09	3.55
	2.25	3.16	3.29
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.23	3.27	3.17	Watch
	2.19	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.19)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
41.8%

Draw
29.8%

Goiás
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.3%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-1%)

Juventude - Goiás Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 5. Luan Martins 44. Mandaca 6. Wadson 20. Allanzinho 75. Rai Silva 9. Alan Kardec	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 3. Luiz Felipe 25. Luisao 6. Nicolas 5. Filipe Machado 10. Lucas Lima 97. Lourenco 28. Gege 18. Cadu 9. Anselmo Ramon
Substitutes
25. Alisson Safira 17. Castro M. 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 79. Joao Scatolin 29. Junior C. 15. Leo Indio 8. Lucas Mineiro 26. Ly I. 10. MP 27. Ray Breno 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi	55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 11. Bruno Savio 54. Djalma Silva 15. Garcia E. 21. Jean Carlos 8. Juninho 40. Kadu 14. Lucas Ribeiro 17. Pedrinho 4. Ramon Menezes 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Luiz Felipe (Own goal),
43', Rodrigo Soares 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
46', Lucas Lima ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
55', Garcia E. 🟥,
60', 2 - 0, Alan Kardec ⚽, Wadson (A),
66', Rai Ramos ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
66', Rodrigo Sam ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
67', Gege ↓, Lucas Ribeiro ↑,
67', Cadu ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
75', Luan Martins ↓, Leo Indio ↑,
80', Nicolas ↓, Djalma Silva ↑,
82', Alan Kardec ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
83', Allanzinho ↓, Junior C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0.

Juventude is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Goiás is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juventude could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Lucas Mineiro (Muscle Injury) Pablo Roberto (Injury) Patryck (Inactive)

There will not play in Goiás: Luquinhas (Inactive)

There are questionable in Juventude: Marcos Paulo (Injury)

There are questionable in Goiás: Gege (Injury) Lourenco (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45

Last Results with these Odds

Goiás - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Fortaleza - Juventude	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
06.04.26	Goiás - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Londrina - Goiás	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Goiás - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Maringá - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
15.03.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
05.11.22	Goiás - Juventude	1:0
17.07.22	Juventude - Goiás	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.18	Juventude - Goiás	3:5
21.06.18	Goiás - Juventude	1:1
17.10.17	Goiás - Juventude	1:0
27.06.17	Juventude - Goiás	3:0

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