Match Info

Date: 23 March 2021, Tuesday


	Fortaleza		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	4.75	9.5
	1.33	4.7	6
	1.23	4.6	12
	1.28	4.87	12.6
	1.27	4.5	11
	1.26	4.96	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	4.73 ↓ (5.5)	10.35 ↑ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
71.9%

Draw
19.3%

Santa Cruz Recife
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

16.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

81.1%

14.1%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 8).

Fortaleza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Cruz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.

In this match Fortaleza is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.03.21	Ceará - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.21	Caxias - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.03.21	Fortaleza - Treze	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
10.03.21	Atlético Cearense - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.03.21	Santa Cruz Recife - CS Alagoano	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
14.03.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.03.21	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
03.03.21	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.20	Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	3:0
09.05.19	Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0

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