Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Santa Cruz Recife		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.5	Watch
	2.95	2.88	2.35
	3.15	2.85	2.26
	3.41	2.99	2.4
	3	2.88	2.38
	3.09	2.99	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.7)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	2.38 (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
29.7%

Draw
31.7%

CS Alagoano
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

20.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CS Alagoano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - CS Alagoano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 and 6).

Santa Cruz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

CSA is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
14.03.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.03.21	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
03.03.21	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.02.21	Vitória Salvador - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTL
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.03.21	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Confiança - CS Alagoano	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
03.03.21	CS Alagoano - Olhodagüense	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.21	CS Alagoano - Treze	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
25.02.21	Jacyobá - CS Alagoano	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.03.19	Santa Cruz Recife - CS Alagoano	1:1
30.01.14	CS Alagoano - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
25.01.14	Santa Cruz Recife - CS Alagoano	0:1

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