Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.52	3.55	2.48
	2.65	3.83	2.57
	2.94	2.95	2.61	Watch
	2.56	3.71	2.56	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.48)	3.54 ↓ (3.74)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
36.3%

Draw
26.8%

Darmstadt
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	53.3%	20%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Fortuna (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Fortuna (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 2. Daland J. 15. Oberdorf T. 46. Suso S. 24. Muslija F. 6. Breithaupt T. 8. El Azzouzi A. 10. Rasmussen C. 13. Itten C. 9. Celar Z.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 9. Hornby F. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
14. Alexandropoulos S. 30. de Wijs J. 12. Fridriksson V. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 19. Iyoha E. 1. Lotka M. (G) 22. Schmidt D. 4. Schmidt K.	27. Bialek B. 10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 32. Holland F. 3. Klassen L. 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L. 21. Papela M.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', Richter M. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
62', Celar Z. ↓, Iyoha E. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Akiyama H. ⚽, Lidberg I. (A),
67', 0 - 2, Nurnberger F. ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, Lidberg I. ⚽,
75', Zimmermann M. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,
75', Breithaupt T. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
75', Rasmussen C. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,
84', Nurnberger F. ↓, Klassen L. ↑,
84', Lidberg I. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
90+1', Hornby F. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
90+1', Akiyama H. ↓, Holland F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Darmstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna: Affo K. (Muscle Injury) Anhari H. (Injury) Appelkamp S. (Muscle Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Fridriksson V. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
14.09.25	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Schweinfurt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWWL
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Darmstadt - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Kaiserslautern - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Lübeck - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	2:2
04.08.24	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2
16.04.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	1:0
08.10.22	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
06.05.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	2:1
03.12.21	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3
04.04.21	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2

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