The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf 46.3%
Draw 27.9%
Heidenheim 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
28%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
28%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68%
20%
12%
Fortuna Düsseldorf - Heidenheim Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 49.7% – 86.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation)).
Fortuna has the most likely position - 5 (20.15%), has project points - 54, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Heidenheim has the most likely position - 3 (30.85%), has project points - 63, has currently - 46, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of promoted (49%), has a chance of win league (18%).
This event has quality38, importance56, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 2.
Recent matches Fortuna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Heidenheim is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fortuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Fortuna will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
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