Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Heidenheim		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4	Watch
	1.83	3.7	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.85	4.4
	1.86	3.85	4.29
	1.83	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.83	3.85	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.13)	3.8 ↑ (3.68)	4.16 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
51.9%

Draw
25.2%

Darmstadt
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.7%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heidenheim's performance.

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darmstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidenheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darmstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.2%	5.1%	7.7%

Heidenheim - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller K. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 19. Fohrenbach J. 8. Dinkci E. 3. Schoppner J. 33. Maloney L. 37. Beste J. 18. Pieringer M. 10. Kleindienst T.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 19. Karic E. 20. Muller J. 3. Isherwood T. 32. Holland F. (C) 27. Skarke T. 11. Kempe T. 23. Gjasula K. 29. Vilhelmsson O. 22. Seydel A. 24. Pfeiffer L.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 20. Dovedan N. 22. Eicher V. (G) 17. Pick F. 9. Schimmer S. 16. Sessa K. 4. Siersleben T. 30. Theuerkauf N. 11. Thomalla D.	30. Brunst A. (G) 18. Honsak M. 14. Klarer C. 5. Maglica M. 16. Muller A. 38. Riedel C. 17. Ronstadt F. 8. Schnellhardt F. 42. Torsiello F.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Lieberknecht T.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Heidenheim will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Keller T. (Knee Injury) Maloney L. (Knee Injury) Qenaj E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Ankle Injury) Manu B. M. (Ankle Injury) Mehlem M. (Broken Leg) Nurnberger F. (Ankle Injury) Zimmermann C. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Hip Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
02.12.23	RB Leipzig - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Heidenheim - Bochum	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Bayern Munich - Heidenheim	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWL
- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
01.12.23	Darmstadt - Köln	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Darmstadt - Mainz	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Darmstadt - Bochum	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Bayern Munich - Darmstadt	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.03.23	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	1:0
27.08.22	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	2:2
04.03.22	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	3:2
24.09.21	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	2:1
16.05.21	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	5:1
17.01.21	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	3:0
29.02.20	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	2:0

Upcoming Matches