Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	4.5	Watch
	1.61	4.2	5
	1.6	4.1	4.9	Watch
	1.6	4.73	5.09
	1.61	4.3	5.12	Watch
	1.6	4	5	Watch
	1.61	4.2	5.16	Watch
	1.6	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	4.27 ↓ (4.34)	4.96 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
58.8%

Draw
22.1%

Jahn Regensburg
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

21.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

23.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortuna Düsseldorf will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 5. Heyer M. 15. Oberdorf T. 3. Hoffmann A. (C) 34. Gavory N. 23. Appelkamp S. 25. Zimmermann M. 8. Johannesson I. 19. Iyoha E. 24. Kownacki D. 9. Vermeij V.	23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 27. Ananou F. 37. Wurm L. 16. Breunig L. 2. Handwerker T. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 10. Viet C. 8. Geipl A. (C) 34. Suhonen A. 20. Ganaus N. 22. Adamyan S.
Substitutes
45. Affo K. 44. Boller J. 43. Egouli E. 18. Niemiec J. 7. Pejcinovic D. 22. Schmidt D. 26. Schock F. (G) 10. van Brederode M.	4. Ballas F. 5. Bulic R. 15. Ernst S. 39. Galjen D. 1. Gebhardt F. (G) 3. Hein B. 9. Hottmann E. 31. Meyer M. 14. Ziegele R.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Patz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Kownacki D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Zimmermann M. ⚽, Oberdorf T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Vermeij V. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
63', Geipl A. ↓, Hottmann E. ↑,
63', Suhonen A. ↓, Ernst S. ↑,
70', Handwerker T. ↓, Hein B. ↑,
72', Breunig L. 🟨,
81', Iyoha E. ↓, Niemiec J. ↑,
81', Appelkamp S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
85', Viet C. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
85', Ganaus N. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
90+3', Johannesson I. ↓, Boller J. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 4.

Recent matches Fortuna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Regensburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Regensburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortuna is a favorite.

There will not play in Fortuna: Jastrzembski D. (Shoulder Injury) Kwasigroch R. (Knee Injury) Rossmann T. (Injury) Siebert J. (Yellow Cards) Sobottka M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Regensburg: Proger K. (Muscle Injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Haag G. (Injury) Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:8 (average 1.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:1 ✺
28.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTWT
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
09.03.25	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Kaiserslautern - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3
04.03.23	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3
German 2 Bundesliga
26.08.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	4:0
27.02.22	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0
18.09.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	1:1
13.02.21	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1

Upcoming Matches