Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Hansa Rostock

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.43	4.6	7	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.43	4.75	7.6
	1.43	4.93	7.77
	1.4	4.4	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.75	7.3	Watch
	1.43	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.63 ↑ (4.57)	7.15 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
66.3%

Draw
20.4%

Hansa Rostock
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

20.4%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 30. de Wijs J. 5. Quarshie J. 34. Gavory N. 11. Klaus F. 6. Engelhardt Y. 4. Tanaka A. 7. Tzolis C. 22. Daferner C. 9. Vermeij V.	1. Kolke M. (C) 26. Bachmann J. 5. Husing O. 4. Rossbach D. 10. Froling N. 8. Rhein S. 6. Dressel D. 13. Schumacher K. 14. Ingelsson S. 18. Perea J. 49. Junior Brumado
Substitutes
27. Jastrzembski D. 8. Johannesson I. 43. Manu K. S. 36. Mustapha S. 1. Niemczycki K. (G) 18. Niemiec J. 15. Oberdorf T. 2. Uchino T.	17. David J. 45. Gudjohnsen S. 40. Johansson M. (G) 27. Kinsombi C. 7. Neidhart N. 9. Proger K. 28. Singh S. 24. Strauss J. 22. van der Werff J.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Selimbegovic M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hansa Rostock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortuna is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.01.24	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
27.01.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLWL
- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Hannover - Hansa Rostock	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Elversberg	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
16.09.23	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3
19.03.23	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:5
10.09.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	3:1
08.04.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	3:0
31.10.21	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
German DFB Pokal
20.08.16	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.12	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1

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