Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hansa Rostock		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.65	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.66	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.59	4.4	1.69
	4.85	4.45	1.67
	4.4	4.2	1.6	Watch
	4.62	4.33	1.66	Watch
	4.7	4.2	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.58)	4.29 ↓ (4.34)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
20.5%

Draw
22.1%

Hamburger SV
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

21.7%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.5%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolke M. (C) 29. Ruschke F. 5. Husing O. 4. Rossbach D. 13. Schumacher K. 6. Dressel D. 3. Stafylidis K. 10. Froling N. 14. Ingelsson S. 18. Perea J. 49. Junior Brumado	19. Raab M. (G) 22. Van der Brempt I. 13. Ramos G. 35. Ambrosius S. 28. Muheim M. 23. Meffert J. 10. Pherai I. 14. Reis L. (C) 18. Jatta B. 9. Glatzel R. 27. Dompe J.
Substitutes
26. Bachmann J. 45. Gudjohnsen S. 40. Johansson M. (G) 27. Kinsombi C. 34. Lang J. 7. Neidhart N. 8. Rhein S. 28. Singh S. 24. Strauss J.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 3. Heyer M. 33. Katterbach N. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 20. Nemeth A. 21. Oztunali L. 6. Poreba L. 4. Schonlau S. 36. Suhonen A.
Coaches
Selimbegovic M.	Polzin M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hansa Rostock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hansa Rostock won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
11.02.24	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Hannover - Hansa Rostock	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Elversberg	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLT
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
09.02.24	Hamburger SV - Hannover	3:4 ✺
03.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:4 ✺
20.01.24	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.24	Zürich - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.09.23	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	2:0
05.02.23	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	0:2
24.07.22	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	0:1
15.05.22	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	2:3
12.12.21	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	3:0
Club Friendly
15.07.16	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	0:0

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