Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
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Sweden	Viaplay
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Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Karlsruher		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.38	Watch
	2.72	3.5	2.35	Watch
	3.01	3.6	2.47
	2.86	3.53	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.89	3.36	2.36	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.61)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
33.2%

Draw
27.2%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Fortuna will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 2. Jung S. 15. Scholl P. 28. Franke M. 20. Herold D. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 7. Burnic D. 21. Waschenbach M. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 24. Schleusener F. 19. Ben Farhat L.	33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 4. Schmidt K. 25. Zimmermann M. 8. El Azzouzi A. 16. Tanaka S. 3. Lenz C. 23. Appelkamp S. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
5. Ambrosius S. 11. Forster P. 13. Fukuda S. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 22. Kobald C. 8. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 9. Simic R.	14. Alexandropoulos S. 9. Celar Z. 2. Daland J. 30. de Wijs J. 19. Iyoha E. 1. Lotka M. (G) 12. Lunddal V. 10. Rasmussen C. 46. Suso S.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Schmidt K. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Itten C. ⚽, Lenz C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Burnic D. ⚽, Scholl P. (A),
58', Zimmermann M. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
64', Itten C. 🟨,
67', Waschenbach M. 🟨,
69', Pinto Pedrosa R. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
69', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
76', Appelkamp S. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
87', Lenz C. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
87', Itten C. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
87', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 0.

Recent performances by Karlsruher have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fortuna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1.1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6:12	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Karlsruher - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Fortuna Düsseldorf - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Karlsruher - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Karlsruher - Thun	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWT?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Slovan Liberec - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0
25.01.25	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3
10.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0
17.02.24	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2
01.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	3:1
30.04.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	3:2
23.10.22	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2

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