Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Cyprus	21:30	Nova Sports
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Viaplay
Germany	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports
Hungary	20:30	Match 4
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Poland	20:30	Viaplay
Portugal	19:30	Eleven Sports 4
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.38
	3.18	3.39	2.39
	2.8	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.5	2.28	Watch
	3	3.4	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.99)	3.39 ↓ (3.61)	2.32 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
31.4%

Draw
27.8%

St. Pauli
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.8%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fortuna Düsseldorf have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	40%	26.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 19. Iyoha E. 3. Hoffmann A. (C) 30. de Wijs J. 34. Gavory N. 18. Niemiec J. 4. Tanaka A. 6. Engelhardt Y. 8. Johannesson I. 7. Tzolis C. 9. Vermeij V.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 36. Kemlein A. 10. Hartel M. (C) 23. Treu P. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.
Substitutes
22. Daferner C. 27. Jastrzembski D. 11. Klaus F. 43. Manu K. S. 1. Niemczycki K. (G) 46. Suso S. 2. Uchino T.	19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 9. Maurides 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 15. Sinani D.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Nemeth P.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

St. Pauli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fortuna have a series of guest games.

St. Pauli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
21.01.24	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
08.01.24	Dordrecht - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:4 ✺
05.01.24	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
20.01.24	St. Pauli - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Excelsior - St. Pauli	Canceled ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.12.23	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.12.23	Homburg - St. Pauli	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 W?TTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.08.23	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0
13.05.23	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0
05.11.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli	1:0
15.05.22	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0
11.12.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli	1:1
21.04.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli	2:0
20.12.20	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3

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