Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	5	Watch
	1.57	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.59	4.62	5.36
	1.5	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.6	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	4.55 ↑ (4.41)	5.22 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
61%

Draw
20.9%

Osnabrück
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	3.2%	3.2%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortuna Düsseldorf will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 2. Uchino T. 20. Siebert J. 30. de Wijs J. 19. Iyoha E. 6. Engelhardt Y. 23. Appelkamp S. 8. Johannesson I. 11. Klaus F. 10. Ginczek D. 7. Tzolis C.	1. Grill L. (G) 5. Ajdini B. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 25. Wiemann N. 3. Kleinhansl F. 26. Gnaase D. 27. Cuisance M. 8. Tesche R. 32. Wulff J. 9. Engelhardt E. 7. Niemann N.
Substitutes
35. Bunk D. 34. Gavory N. 27. Jastrzembski D. 43. Manu K. S. 1. Niemczycki K. (G) 18. Niemiec J. 15. Oberdorf T. 46. Suso S. 4. Tanaka A.	28. Bahr F. 18. Kehl L. 22. Kuhn P. (G) 13. Kunze L. 11. Makridis C. 16. Rorig H. 6. Thalhammer M. 23. Verhoek J. 10. Wriedt K. O.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Schweinsteiger T.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Fortuna is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Osnabrück is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fortuna is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
29.09.23	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3 ✺
01.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWW
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
01.10.23	Osnabrück - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
22.09.23	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Hannover - Osnabrück	7:0 ✺
03.09.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.04.21	Osnabrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3
16.12.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Osnabrück	3:0

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