Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 7

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Osnabrück		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.62	Watch
				Watch
	4.5	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.66	4.74	1.65
	4.33	4.2	1.53
	4.75	4.7	1.58	Watch
	4.7	4.6	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (4.75)	4.51 ↑ (4.38)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
20.5%

Draw
20.8%

Hamburger SV
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

21.6%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

21.3%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Hamburger SV have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Osnabrück - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grill L. (G) 5. Ajdini B. 4. Gyamfi M. 14. Diakhite O. 3. Kleinhansl F. 26. Gnaase D. 27. Cuisance M. 8. Tesche R. 32. Wulff J. 9. Engelhardt E. 17. Conteh C.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 22. Van der Brempt I. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 13. Ramos G. 3. Heyer M. 14. Reis L. 23. Meffert J. 8. Benes L. 18. Jatta B. 9. Glatzel R. 27. Dompe J.
Substitutes
28. Bahr F. 15. Chato P. 18. Kehl L. 22. Kuhn P. (G) 13. Kunze L. 7. Niemann N. 16. Rorig H. 23. Verhoek J. 10. Wriedt K. O.	35. Ambrosius S. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 46. Krahn E. 41. Megeed O. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 20. Nemeth A. 21. Oztunali L. 19. Raab M. (G)
Coaches
Schweinsteiger T.	Walter T.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 3.

Osnabrück has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hamburg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hamburg to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
17.09.23	Hannover - Osnabrück	7:0 ✺
03.09.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Osnabrück - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Osnabrück - Köln	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
16.09.23	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Hannover - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.08.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hamburger SV	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
16.05.21	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	3:2
18.01.21	Hamburger SV - Osnabrück	5:0
16.06.20	Hamburger SV - Osnabrück	1:1
29.11.19	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	2:1
German DFB Pokal
13.08.17	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	3:1
Club Friendly
26.03.15	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	0:0

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