Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Jose Burgos Quintana (Málaga)


	NEC Nijmegen		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	2.6	3.75	2.35
	2.61	3.8	2.38
	2.61	3.56	2.38
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.63	3.88	2.36	Watch
	2.7	3.7	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)	3.71 ↓ (3.83)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
35.5%

Draw
24.8%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

24.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.1%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fortuna will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 5. Baas Y. 6. Hoedemakers M. 14. Larsen L. O. 8. Mattsson M. 17. Nuytinck B. 18. Ogawa K. 71. Proper D. 4. Ross M. 23. Sano K. 28. van Rooij B.	1. Niemczycki K. (G) 23. Appelkamp S. 45. Corsten T. 22. Daferner C. 6. Engelhardt Y. 3. Hoffmann A. 19. Iyoha E. 11. Klaus F. 18. Niemiec J. 15. Oberdorf T. 46. Suso S.
Substitutes
10. Hansen S. 31. Janse R. (G) 2. Pereira B. 22. Roefs R. (G) 3. Sandler P. 7. Tavsan E. 24. Verdonk C.	35. Bunk D. 21. Gorka D. (G) 27. Jastrzembski D. 8. Johannesson I. 43. Manu K. S. 20. Siebert J. 4. Tanaka A. 7. Tzolis C. 2. Uchino T. 9. Vermeij V.

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Nijmegen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fortuna is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.12.23	GVVV - NEC Nijmegen	1:6 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.23	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	4:1 ✺
09.12.23	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
06.12.23	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	NEC Nijmegen - Ajax	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWWWL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3 ✺
10.12.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.12.23	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5 ✺
25.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW

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