Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	St. Pauli		Wehen Wiesbaden

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.29	5.75	9.75	Watch
	1.28	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.3	6.08	10.5
	1.3	6.08	10.5
	1.25	5.5	8.5
	1.28	5.65	9.6	Watch
	1.3	5.6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.47)	5.68 ↑ (4.6)	9.66 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
73.5%

Draw
16.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.4%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

19.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Pauli's performance.

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wehen Wiesbaden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pauli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wehen Wiesbaden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Wehen will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 10. Hartel M. 23. Treu P. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.	16. Stritzel F. (G) 2. Angha M. (C) 17. Carstens F. 26. Vukotic A. 9. Goppel T. 7. Heusser R. 19. Jacobsen B. 34. Catic A. 8. Batzner N. 21. Kade J. 18. Prtajin I.
Substitutes
14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 9. Maurides 24. Metcalfe C. 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 15. Sinani D.	22. Farouk A. 6. Fechner G. 30. Froese K. 33. Iredale J. 1. Lyska A. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 37. Nink B. 27. Rieble N. 5. Taffertshofer E.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Kauczinski M.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 11).

St. Pauli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Wehen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Pauli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Pauli is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.12.23	Homburg - St. Pauli	1:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.12.23	St. Pauli - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli	2:3 ✺
10.11.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTWT
- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
08.12.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:3 ✺
02.12.23	Holstein Kiel - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:2 ✺
26.11.23	Greuther Fürth - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Kaiserslautern	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.06.20	Wehen Wiesbaden - St. Pauli	5:3
Club Friendly
16.01.20	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	5:2
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.19	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1
Club Friendly
16.01.19	St. Pauli - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:2
German DFB Pokal
17.08.18	Wehen Wiesbaden - St. Pauli	3:2 ET

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