Match Info

Jia League - Round 24

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center (Foshan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Foshan Nanshi		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.42	3.27	2.88
	2.48	3.01	2.95	Watch
	2.41	3.28	2.87	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.36)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.84 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foshan Nanshi
38.3%

Draw
29.2%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Foshan Nanshi (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Guangxi (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Foshan Nanshi (votes: 1 - 25%). Guangxi (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Yang Chao (G) 33. Kun L. 17. Maslac M. 29. Sun Xiaobin (C) 13. Zhang Xingbo 30. Huang Chuqi 7. Albarracin N. 18. Ruan Jun 36. Shi Liang 9. Chang Feiya 44. Antwi R.	13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 34. Xiang Rongjun 45. Huang Wei (C) 5. Yao Diran 36. Yang Minjie 11. Liu Hao 10. Asamoah S. 19. Chen Quanjiang 8. Hu Jiajin 43. Cheukoua M. 39. Lu Chenghe
Substitutes
40. Han Kunda 35. He Mingli 39. Li Bowen 25. Liu Xinyu 32. Wu-Yao Shengxuan (G) 24. Wu Yuchen 26. Yao-hsing Yu 14. Yao Xilong 5. Zhang Shuai 28. Zhang Zhihao 27. Zheng Junwei 11. Zhong Ziqin	28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 29. Fu Shang 22. He Lipan (G) 20. Jiang Zhengjie 17. Yang Jingfan 32. You Wenjie 38. Zhang Wei 16. Zhang Zili 35. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Wang Hongwei	Maeda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Chang Feiya ↓, Yao-hsing Yu ↑,
30', Kun L. 🟨,
34', Chen Quanjiang 🟨,
43', Shi Liang 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Liu Hao ↓, Jiang Zhengjie ↑,
46', Lu Chenghe ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
46', Ruan Jun ↓, Wu Yuchen ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Cheukoua M. ⚽, Fu Shang (A),
58', Asamoah S. 🟨,
61', Hu Jiajin ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
61', Yang Minjie ↓, You Wenjie ↑,
69', Huang Chuqi ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
69', Antwi R. ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Maslac M. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
78', 1 - 2, Fu Shang ⚽, You Wenjie (A),
85', Chen Quanjiang ↓, Ding Quancheng ↑,
86', Sun Xiaobin ↓, Han Kunda ↑,
88', Albarracin N. ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
90+3', Jiang Zhengjie 🟨,
90+3', Jiang Zhengjie ↓, Chen Shaohao ↑,
90+7', Liu Xinyu 🟨,
90+10', Wang Jinshuai 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Foshan Nanshi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guangxi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
21.09.25	Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Foshan Nanshi - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Foshan Nanshi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWLLT
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
20.09.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	0:1
16.09.24	Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1
27.04.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	2:1

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